When will I get my Slate?

[sodamo]

This is hard to read but it shows the number of reservations by the 88 days since the first entry at 4/18. Notice that the number of entries trails off the farther to the right. Of course there are fewer days for people to make a reservation to the right but that should not change the overall look of entries as more days are added in the future.

The point here is that to get to 150,000 in a year, and noting that this is a sample, the large number of reservations have happened in the first two weeks. It may be the case that the first two weeks were unusual, say, for the following time that could possibly show some more activity depending on circumstances, but we only have what we can see now.

The argument that only 5% of the reservations will convert does not seem likely in that Slate is gearing up for a 150,000 vehicle production giving 5% of the current reservation estimate of 125,000 or 6,250 vehicles for the first 88 days or around 26,000 for the year or around 1/6 of the what Slate is building for. 30% would be the low number.

Not arguing with your numbers but am curious as to source of your chart data. actual Slate data, this forum data, someplace else?

I ask becauseI’m a Day 2 reservations, but didn’t find/join this forum for over 2 weeks and even then didn’t immediately enter my reservation, hence my data point could be irrelevant.

 

[RetiredOnPaper]

I will feel more positive when the pre-production models start to roll off the line. By that time there should be a clear picture as to what accessories will be offered and at what price.

 

[MrTwinsburg]

where do I look to see my reservation #?

 

[E90400K]

LOL. This thread has me now comparing delivery of my '22 Bronco from a reservation date of late September 2020 to delivery, now nearly 3 years ago. Let's see if Slate can beat out Ford!

 

[metroshot]

LOL. This thread has me now comparing delivery of my '22 Bronco from a reservation date of late September 2020 to delivery, now nearly 3 years ago. Let's see if Slate can beat out Ford!

Same experience with reservations actually turning into an order with Ford, GM and Chevy EVs....

• Ford Lightning 2022 unexpectedly converted into an order the fastest (1 year reservation).
• Ford Mach E 2022 order turned into 2 VIN changes, model year change, color changes, then stalled for 14 months due to a train derailment from Mexico to the US and eventually delivered 2 years late.
• Chevy Silverado EV WT reservation never turned into an order because only the 3WT and 4WT at double the price was the only options.
• GM Denali EV truck reservation ordering opened starting price $109,000 !

In the end, ordered and took delivery of both Ford EVs, but cancelled the reservations for Chevy & GM and took the money back after 2 years.

That was the most disappointing - GM and Chevy lost out on a customer for life.

 

[Neil Nelson]

Not arguing with your numbers but am curious as to source of your chart data. actual Slate data, this forum data, someplace else?

I ask becauseI’m a Day 2 reservations, but didn’t find/join this forum for over 2 weeks and even then didn’t immediately enter my reservation, hence my data point could be irrelevant.

Go to https://www.slateforums.com/forum/threads/slate-reservations-pre-order-tracking-list-stats-📊.12645/ and copy the list of entries. Put them in a spreadsheet and sort them. I had to manually put in the totals.

 

[ejbarton]

In talking with the team at the Space Needle this week, the target to ship is around CHRISTMAS 2026 - so yes, Q4 2026...but late Q4. Most deliveries are slated (pun intended) for Q1 2027.

 

[sodamo]

Go to https://www.slateforums.com/forum/threads/slate-reservations-pre-order-tracking-list-stats-📊.12645/ and copy the list of entries. Put them in a spreadsheet and sort them. I had to manually put in the totals.

That’s my point, not an official list, just an undefined sample, and the timelines irrelevant as my own actions point out. A fun exercise only.

 

[sodamo]

where do I look to see my reservation #?

On the Slate Auto, official website.

 

[Neil Nelson]

That’s my point, not an official list, just an undefined sample, and the timelines irrelevant as my own actions point out. A fun exercise only.

I think we could call the list here a statistical sample. 350 entries should be good enough to make some inferences from. There is no particular way that entries are selected. Anyone can add theirs.

 

[Paul Rodgers]

Well, its a guessing game.
My guess? if it hits the street under 30k, the business will be "OK"
That includes shipping, taxes, tags, registration, "final prep" (YES THERE WILL BE A PREP CHARGE!)

Probability? my estimate is 50/50,
i.e. I think, to get a blank-slate, in your driveway sometime in 2027 has a 50/50 chance it will be over $30k (and so a 50/50 chance it will be less)

Remember folks: paperwork, shipping, taxes, tags. All those things dealers do, and get bad-mouthed for. Try doing it yourself, just once, its a pain.

30k? I buy! $30,000.01 I shall pass, and ask for my $50 back.
But I will have a cashiers check, waiting, in my driveway.

Actually I would love to do it in big bills, but thats probably illegal.

 

[Paul Rodgers]

This is hard to read but it shows the number of reservations by the 88 days since the first entry at 4/18. Notice that the number of entries trails off the farther to the right. Of course there are fewer days for people to make a reservation to the right but that should not change the overall look of entries as more days are added in the future.

The point here is that to get to 150,000 in a year, and noting that this is a sample, the large number of reservations have happened in the first two weeks. It may be the case that the first two weeks were unusual, say, for the following time that could possibly show some more activity depending on circumstances, but we only have what we can see now.

The argument that only 5% of the reservations will convert does not seem likely in that Slate is gearing up for a 150,000 vehicle production giving 5% of the current reservation estimate of 125,000 or 6,250 vehicles for the first 88 days or around 26,000 for the year or around 1/6 of the what Slate is building for. 30% would be the low number.

Tesla geared up for a bazillion cybertucks, and got it wrong.
My worry with Slate is the other way, what if they say they plan 10,000 units a month, and demand is double that?

Their 140k units/year is based on a debugged production line with 2 shifts.
Doubling output would take at least another year.

So they should be "planning" on 70k units/year, or something similar,
and the backup plan is 2 shifts.
That puts my delivery schedule into 2028 or later!
But how long to hire and train that second shift? Not so many folk in Warsaw who want a new job.

 

[Neil Nelson]

Reporting says that the Slate now will cost $27,500. I will buy the 240 mile battery pack for $5,000, a lift kit for $1,500, 120 volt output for $300, rubber floor mats for $200, and a spare tire thrown into the back of the truck for $300, giving roughly $34,800. And then there are taxes and other fees.

 

[Paul Rodgers]

ok, fair enough.
But this thread is about when you will get it? and what'll it cost you, delivered, when you do!
Me? I'll take a blank, and get the options later.

Oh and BTW, I'll bet rubber floor mats will be on Amazon, within minutes, for $50
Lot of other "stuff" as well, sort of what I am really looking forward to.

 

[PACMAN]

Slate will start delivering trucks in the fourth quarter of 2026. Slate will produce around 150,000 trucks per year. I put my order in on May 24, just over a month of Slate taking orders. Taking the reservation list on this site as a rough sample, I figure roughly that 125,000 orders have been submitted and I am on the reservation list at around 114,000.

Given that the $7,500 discount will not apply when Slate begins to sell I expect that around 1/4 of the current reservations will not be taken. That means there are only 93,750 good orders putting me at around 85,500 in the order list. I would receive my Slate truck roughly around the second quarter of 2027, just under two years away. That is going to be a long wait.