When will Slate Auto ship their 500th vehicle? (Market research tool)

[cadblu]

According to “Manifold,” a social prediction tool, Slate will deliver its 500th unit in March 2028. This date takes into account delays in production and delivery which are inevitable even with established OEMs.
Link here: Manifold

While I don’t endorse this research tool, Manifold claims its forecasts are within 4 percentage points on average of the true probability. The largest percentage of votes is for 2027, so this isn’t consistent with the prediction. Nevertheless I wanted to share this for discussion.

 

[LoneWolfo6]

Time will tell. Too long to wait and a lot can happen between now and 2028

Cybertruck flop.

Atlas Truck EV bankruptcy.

Nokia Bankruptcy.

Canoo went from moving forward to bankruptcy.

RAM EV cancelled.

Ford Lightning cancelled.

 

[ElectricShitbox]

What are the Vegas odds, lol.
I very much want slate to succeed, but I'm still at 50/50 they ever deliver a vehicle.
I've had my heart broken by start-ups before, haha.

 

[E90400K]

I'm going with February 26th, 2027.

 

[SparkYellow]

But... They say "coming soon!" 🙆

 

[cadblu]

I guess waiting another 1.5 years is considered “soon” in the Slate ecosystem.

 

[Luxrage]

What are the Vegas odds, lol.
I very much want slate to succeed, but I'm still at 50/50 they ever deliver a vehicle.
I've had my heart broken by start-ups before, haha.

I watched a co-worker go through every stage of grief with Elio motors, I don't want to fall into that same trap!